To highlight how dependent they might be on a key employee, businesses are often asked what they would do if that employee were run over and killed by a bus (e.g. the Bus Test) - and the answer would point out various problems for disaster recovery and business continuity planning issues.
So what are the odds of someone being killed by a bus? For the UK, we can look at the official statistics (Department for Transport).
For 2004, there were 121 accidents involving buses and causing a death. That doesn't quite mean that 121 people were killed by being hit by a bus as it would include any accident involving a bus where any number of people died (there's a table showing that 3 bus drivers and 17 bus passengers were killed).
This is expressed as a rate per 100 million vehicle kilometres of 2.3. So, on average, any one bus is involved in a fatal accident every 27 million miles of travel.
So, if we assume that there were at most 121 cases of someone being killed by being hit by a bus and if we assume that everyone in the UK (60 million people) has an equal chance of this happening then the odds are something like 2 in a million (per year).
Of course, anyone wandering around in China with their iPod on may have a higher chance.
So what are the odds of someone being killed by a bus? For the UK, we can look at the official statistics (Department for Transport).
For 2004, there were 121 accidents involving buses and causing a death. That doesn't quite mean that 121 people were killed by being hit by a bus as it would include any accident involving a bus where any number of people died (there's a table showing that 3 bus drivers and 17 bus passengers were killed).
This is expressed as a rate per 100 million vehicle kilometres of 2.3. So, on average, any one bus is involved in a fatal accident every 27 million miles of travel.
So, if we assume that there were at most 121 cases of someone being killed by being hit by a bus and if we assume that everyone in the UK (60 million people) has an equal chance of this happening then the odds are something like 2 in a million (per year).
Of course, anyone wandering around in China with their iPod on may have a higher chance.
5 comments:
Pah!
If memory serves...I didn't die.
I believe in second chances, but I don't believe in third or fourth chances. See the link below for more info.
#chances
www.ufgop.org
Thanks for sharing informative article on disaster recovery and business continuity. I really find this blog post very helpful.
Excellent post.Thanks for sharing this message. Really, Your blog is not only instructive but useful too.
Managed IT Services
Well, if my chances are that good, I can stop looking out for them.
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